Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir Elections: A Shift in Political Dynamics
Recent exit polls have indicated a significant transformation in the political landscape of Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir, suggesting a potential shift from multipolar to bipolar dynamics.
Haryana Assembly Elections: Congress Poised for Victory
According to various exit polls released after the conclusion of voting in Haryana, the Congress party appears set to reclaim power after a decade-long absence. Forecasts indicate that they may secure a clear majority within the 90-member Assembly. This anticipated victory could reshape agricultural policies in the region, especially given Haryana’s strategic location near Delhi.
The implications of this election extend beyond state borders. Punjab, which was at the forefront of farmer protests during 2020-21 and is currently governed by the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), has been aligned with opposition movements advocating for farmers’ rights. The Congress’s success could bolster its influence on national agricultural policies as well.
Historically, if these predictions hold true, it would mark one of Congress’s strongest performances since their peak in 2005 when they won 67 seats. Other notable successes include winning 48 seats each in both 1967 and 1968, along with victories of 52 seats in 1972 and 51 seats in 1991. In contrast, during the last elections held in 2019, Congress managed only to secure 31 seats while BJP claimed victory with an alliance alongside JJP.
In terms of recent electoral performance at the national level during the Lok Sabha elections earlier this year, Congress contested nine out of ten available seats and emerged victorious in five—matching BJP’s tally but showcasing stronger support when combined with AAP’s vote share.
As per projections from India Today-CVoter surveys for Haryana’s upcoming assembly elections, Congress is expected to win between 50-58 seats while BJP may capture around 20-28. Additionally, up to 14 seats are predicted for smaller parties or independents.
Jammu & Kashmir Assembly Elections: A Fragmented Future
In Jammu & Kashmir (J&K), exit polls suggest that no single party or coalition will achieve an outright majority within its legislative assembly either. The National Conference-Congress alliance is projected by some forecasts—specifically from India Today-CVoter—to potentially approach this threshold by winning between 40-48 seats out of 90, although most other analyses predict a hung assembly scenario where smaller parties might play pivotal roles.
The recent assembly elections were particularly noteworthy as they marked J&K’s first electoral exercise since Article 370 was revoked back in August 2019, leading many observers to view these results through a lens shaped by significant political changes over recent years.
Polls indicate that while BJP may maintain its foothold primarily within Jammu—a region electing 43 MLAs out of total members—the influence enjoyed previously by Mehbooba Mufti-led People’s Democratic Party (PDP) seems poised for decline amidst rising support for independent candidates and minor parties alike.
Overall trends suggest that smaller factions could collectively win anywhere from 6-18** legislative positions which would be crucial for any future government formation efforts following these elections.
This evolving political narrative across both states highlights not only shifting allegiances but also reflects broader socio-political sentiments among voters who are increasingly seeking representation beyond traditional party lines.
Student Of Government Collage Of Engineering and part time journalist.Follow for topics such as politics,new technology,gaming etc..
